At noon on Saturday, April 18, Georgia is reporting 17,669 cases of COVID-19, 3,420 hospitalized and 673 deaths. Walton County’s numbers are unchanged from Friday. It is still reporting 58 cases and three deaths. Gwinnett County is reporting 1,050 cases and 36 deaths. In the Governor’s list of COVID-19 patients at Walton County nursing homes, the state is reporting three cases in Walton County – one at Park Place in Monroe and two cases with two deaths at the Retreat in Loganville at the Pearl Alzheimer’s building.
The Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluations revised the projections that all the states are working off of on Friday and Georgia is now projected to have already peaked at 100 deaths per day (which was recorded 10 days ago, on April 7, 2020.) Georgia’s peak use of resources was projected to have been two days ago, on April 15, and the state’s total deaths expected tops out at 1,369 by June 1. Georgia now has 100% of hospital beds as well as ICU beds needed and are just 287 short on ventilators.
All this is a much better projection that it was just a few hours ago before the revision was made. Up until today, Georgia was not expected to peak until May 1 at 91 deaths a day for a total by June 26 of 3,718.
These projections seem much more realistic when compared to the actual figures being recorded. At 7 p.m. this evening, the Georgia Department of Public health was reporting 668 deaths with 17,432 confirmed cases of COVID-19, and 3,395 hospitalized. This included 3 deaths and 58 cases in Walton County and 1037 cases and 36 deaths in Gwinnett County.
According to the IHME, Georgia could consider relaxing the social distancing protocols on June, 15. This seems a little counterintuitive when compared to New York, which as a hot zone is projected to still lose significantly more people to COVID-19 than Georgia and has a “suggested” day to begin relaxing social distancing protocols on June 1.